The NBA trade deadline is in just 10 days, and many of the decisions teams will make about whether to uproot their rosters or not will be based on expectations. But it’s important to remember it’s not just about expectations vs. this year, but over different time spans and how they evolve.
For example, the Bucks weren’t thought to be a serious playoff threat this year. Instead, they were in the mix for a possible postseason spot. Then they got off to a great start in December and looked like a legit playoff team. Then they fell to pieces. So do you make decisions on the roster trying to get back to that team you were in December, or do you acknowledge that December was likely their outlier and this team probably is what most people thought it would be, slightly below average, with the ability to be slightly above average if things go right?